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Small market MLB teams are outperforming big payrolls, undermining owners’ push to cancel 2027 season
We’re nearly a month into the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season, and already there have been some major surprises, outstanding performances, and, most importantly, the complete and total dismantling of the “poor” small market owner trope.
And hopefully it provides some positive momentum toward the ridiculous push from those owners and supportive fans to cancel the 2027 season in order to increase franchise values.
In just the first few weeks of the season, we’ve seen several high-profile contract extensions for young prospects in small markets, including one that set a record for the largest monetary guarantee ever given out to a player who’d yet to play in the big leagues.
Then, the San Diego Padres, who play in one of the smallest markets in the league, sold for an astonishing $3.9 billion to the owner of Chelsea Football Club. That sale price exceeded the price that Steve Cohen paid for the New York Mets just five and a half years ago by $1.4 billion. Put simply, there is no longer any reasonable debate: the business of baseball is booming.
But that’s the financial side, which is just one part of the “concern.” The other? The supposed problem with competitive balance in baseball. Well, it’s early, but the start to the season has already demonstrated why those “issues” have been wildly overstated and weaponized by owners pushing for a salary cap. And those same New York Mets have shown how absurd the hand-wringing has become.
That hand-wringing, that small market teams can’t possibly compete with the large payrolls of big market teams, fundamentally misunderstands the gaps between baseball teams. Yes, there are significant advantages to having more money to spend on players. But that money must be spent wisely in order for it to matter. The Mets might be the perfect example of how money can’t fix everything.
The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the league in payroll, and caused mass outrage in the offseason by signing Kyle Tucker and Edwin Diaz. Yes, the Dodgers are in first place…by half a game over the small market Padres. Diaz gave up three runs without getting an out on Sunday afternoon, pushing his ERA to over 10, and Kyle Tucker has been the 78th most valuable hitter in baseball thus far, behind Colorado Rockies catcher Hunter Goodman. The Dodgers have still jumped out to a great start, but it’s mostly been due to exceptional performances from the bottom of the lineup, players like Andy Pages, Dalton Rushing, and Miguel Rojas.
The Mets, who are a close second to LA with a $370 million payroll and over $500 million due in payments this year thanks to the luxury tax, have now lost 11 straight games after blowing a ninth inning lead to the Cubs on Sunday. They’re tied for the worst record in baseball, have scored the second fewest runs in the league, and have now fallen a whopping eight games out of first place in the National League East already.
The Mets are also 43-60 since late June 2025, one of the worst records in baseball over that timeframe. Again, this a team that will have spent nearly a billion dollars on payroll over the last two years. They missed the playoffs in 2025, and the poor start has dropped their postseason odds to just 41% this year.
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Meanwhile, the Toronto Blue Jays, who made the 2025 World Series and have the fourth highest payroll in baseball at roughly $290 million, are currently in last place in the American League East at 8-13. They’ve been outscored by 26 runs already.
What about the Philadelphia Phillies, always one of baseball’s biggest spending teams? They rank fifth in team payroll at $285 million, with a $320 million luxury tax payroll. They’re in fourth place in the NL East at 8-13, and their -38 run differential is quite literally the worst in Major League Baseball.
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The Houston Astros rank seventh in payroll at nearly $240 million. They’re in last place in the American League West, having allowed the most runs of any team in the sport. Even worse than the Rockies, who play their home games at Coors Field.
What about the small market “poor” teams?
Well, the Cincinnati Reds are in first place in the NL Central at 14-8 ahead of the big market Cubs, who’ve outspent them by over $100 million. The Athletics are tied for first in the AL West. The Cleveland Guardians are once again defying the run differential gods and sit in first place in the AL Central, despite a payroll well under $100 million. The Tampa Bay Rays are in second in the AL East, just a half game back. Miami, the team with the lowest payroll in baseball, roughly $300 million behind the Mets, sit in second and have outscored the Mets’ offense by 28 runs already.
Does this mean the standings will finish this way? No, not necessarily. The Blue Jays and Astros, for example, have suffered through a rash of pitching injuries and the Mets are missing Juan Soto. But therein lies the point. Injuries, underperformance, and expensive veterans declining as they age can easily derail a season for the richer teams. Yes, the Dodgers have excelled with huge payrolls, but they’ve done it by building up depth through minor league development and targeted small dollar value signings. Mookie Betts is out? Rojas, Alex Freeland, or Hyesong Kim can pick up the slack. Will Smith needs more time off? Dalton Rushing, a former top-35 prospect is the backup. As the extensions and franchise sales have show, there’s plenty of money floating around baseball. And as the standings thus far bear out, higher payrolls don’t always correlate to success. MLB already has competitive balance. We don’t need to cancel an entire season, which despite their arguments, would be exclusively to enrich the league’s owners, to achieve it.
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ALERT: Trump Set To Make ‘Special Announcement’ From Oval Office
President Donald Trump is set to make an Oval Office announcement Monday afternoon, but the White House is keeping the subject under wraps.
According to the official daily guidance and press schedule released Sunday night, Trump will make the announcement at 2 p.m. Eastern Time on Monday, September 28.
The schedule provides just one tantalizing line: “THE PRESIDENT makes an Announcement.”
The event will take place in the Oval Office and will be open to the White House Press Pool. No additional details about what Trump plans to announce were provided.
Trump has a packed schedule leading up to the event.
His calendar includes executive time at 8 a.m., followed by policy meetings at 11 a.m., 12:30 p.m. and 1 p.m. The Oval Office announcement follows at 2 p.m., with a print interview scheduled for 3:30 p.m.
Trump spent Sunday at the President’s Cup in Medinah, Illinois, before returning to Washington.
After arriving, the president briefly spoke with reporters on the tarmac and revealed that his day still wasn’t over, noting that he had a 10 p.m. dinner meeting scheduled with Anthropic founder Dario Amodei.
🚨 BREAKING: President Trump hints that his big announcement tomorrow in the Oval Office is related to his meeting with ANTHROPIC
And his meeting is TONIGHT at 10pm
DESPITE the long day today in Chicago. REALLY incredible how he can do it. pic.twitter.com/snEZd99jCE
— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) September 28, 2026
“So that’s a long day, right?! We leave early in the morning, and now I have a dinner with Anthropic,” the president said.
Trump also noted that he had held lengthy discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping and several additional American technology leaders earlier in the week.
For now, exactly what Trump intends to reveal Monday remains unknown.
The White House had not released additional information about the announcement as of this report.
The 2 p.m. Oval Office time slot has previously been used by the administration for policy announcements, including healthcare-related events. In those instances, the White House similarly announced the time and location beforehand while withholding the substance of the announcement until the event.
Monday’s announcement will be available through official White House livestreams and available press pool coverage.
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CEO Charged In Scheme To Infiltrate Secret Service
A U.S. tech CEO and a Russian national have been arrested in a federal case alleging they concealed Russian ownership and software development while securing U.S. government contracts — including work involving the Secret Service.
Federal prosecutors say Lee Reiber, 55, CEO of Virginia-based Oxygen Forensics Inc., and Oleg Sergeyevich Davydov, 52, of Moscow, hid the company’s Russian ties while selling digital forensics technology to federal agencies.
Reiber was arrested in Idaho on September 20 and later released on bond. Davydov was arrested the same day at London’s Heathrow Airport while preparing to board a flight to Istanbul. U.S. authorities intend to seek his extradition.
“The CEO of a Virginia-based software company and a Russian national have been arrested on a federal criminal complaint charging them with concealing from U.S. government agencies that their company was owned and controlled by Russian nationals and that its software was developed in Russia,” prosecutors said.
Authorities allege Reiber made representations to the federal government that directly contradicted the company’s actual ownership and development structure.
They further stated that “Reiber allegedly represented to the government that the company had no foreign ownership or control and that its software was developed in the United States, when in fact five Russian nationals, including Davydov, owned and controlled the company and its software was developed in Russia.”
Importantly, the criminal complaint does not allege that Oxygen Forensics’ software contained malicious code or that it was used to obtain unauthorized access to customers’ systems or data.
But the alleged concealment becomes particularly significant because of who was buying the company’s technology.
According to an affidavit supporting the complaint, beginning in March 2022, Reiber, Davydov and others allegedly conspired to obtain federal contracts through Oxygen Forensics.
The company’s software is designed to recover, preserve and analyze information extracted from digital devices.
Federal agencies identified in the affidavit include the Department of War as well as Department of Homeland Security components, including the Secret Service and its National Computer Forensics Institute (NCFI), Homeland Security Investigations and the DHS Office of Inspector General.
Prosecutors allege the company presented a dramatically different picture of itself to the U.S. government than what existed behind the scenes.
“According to the affidavit, Oxygen Forensics held itself out to the U.S. government as being an independent, U.S.-based company. In fact, Davydov and four other Russian nationals owned and controlled the company through a holding company based in Cyprus,” prosecutors said.
The Russian connections allegedly extended well beyond ownership.
According to the affidavit, the same five individuals owned a Russian company formerly known as Oxygen Software LLC and later renamed MKO Systems LLC. Davydov co-founded that company in 2000, and developers worked in Russia.
MKO reportedly sold similar software inside Russia to customers that included the FSB, the Russian Investigative Committee and the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
Davydov served as the Russian company’s chief technology officer and helped establish the Virginia-based firm in 2013.
Then came Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine and expanded U.S. sanctions.
According to federal investigators, that is when efforts to conceal the company’s Russian ownership and development structure intensified.
The affidavit alleges that the parties agreed to hide both Russian ownership and the role Russian developers played in producing the software.
Reiber was installed as Oxygen Forensics’ CEO, president and board chairman in March 2022.
Russian owners were removed from public corporate filings, according to the affidavit, but prosecutors allege their actual power over the company remained.
The Russian owners allegedly continued making significant corporate decisions, setting Reiber’s compensation, overruling him on payments and retaining signing authority over company bank accounts.
Federal investigators also pointed to certifications submitted directly to the government.
In December 2022 and again in October 2023, Reiber allegedly certified that Oxygen Forensics had no immediate or highest-level owner.
Then, in November 2023, a reporter began asking questions about the company’s ownership.
According to the affidavit, Reiber subsequently wrote to Davydov and two other owners that the resulting public reporting “could destroy this entire opportunity,” referring to a pending NCFI contract.
He also warned that the “current existence of this company hangs in the balance.”
The government’s allegations did not stop there.
In July 2024, prosecutors say that, at Reiber’s direction, the company certified to the Department of War that no foreign person controlled the appointment of directors or company decisions.
Then, in March 2026, Reiber allegedly told DHS personnel that no Russian was involved in software development and that nobody in Russia had access to the company’s build environment.
Federal investigators allege the reality was very different.
According to the affidavit, the software was written and managed by a Russian development team operating under Davydov in a cloud environment administered by one of the Russian owners.
The allegations now place the company’s federal contracting history — and its representations about who actually owned, controlled and developed its technology — at the center of a major federal criminal case.
Reiber and Davydov have been charged by criminal complaint with conspiracy to commit wire fraud. The allegations contained in the complaint remain accusations, and the defendants are presumed innocent unless and until proven guilty in court.
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Trump Torches Supreme Court Over Controversial New Ruling
President Donald Trump unloaded on the U.S. Supreme Court on Sunday after the justices blocked Missouri from using its controversial 2025 congressional map in the upcoming midterm elections — a decision with potentially significant consequences for control of the U.S. House.
The map, which Missouri used during this year’s primary elections, was designed in a way that could have given Republicans an opportunity to pick up another congressional seat. But after months of legal battles and conflicting court rulings, the Supreme Court put an end to its use in the November 3 general election.
Trump wasted little time responding.
“The Supreme Court of the United States will just not let Missouri have an Election Victory. They continuously, three times now, overrule Judges who came to the correct decisions,” Trump wrote in a social media post.
The president then praised Missouri Governor Mike Kehoe and those who fought to keep the new congressional districts in place.
“Thank you to the Governor, and all of the Great People of Missouri, who are fighting so hard for Fairness and Election Security. Such tremendous Spirit and Love of our Country. I won Missouri BIG, all three times, and I couldn’t be more proud of doing so. A great place — I love you all,” the president continued.
The Supreme Court’s Friday order brought another dramatic turn in a redistricting fight that has bounced between state and federal courts.
The order, issued without noted dissents, halted a federal appeals court directive that would have required Missouri to use the 2025 congressional map.
Timing proved critical.
According to the Supreme Court, ballots based on Missouri’s 2022 congressional districts had already been printed and mailed, while absentee, military and overseas voting was already underway.
Changing maps at that point, the justices wrote, “would usher in electoral chaos.”
The court consequently directed lower courts not to prohibit Missouri from using the 2022 map or require the state to implement the 2025 map for the 2026 congressional election.
The dispute traces back to Missouri Republicans’ decision to enact a new congressional map, known as House Bill 1, during a special legislative session.
Governor Mike Kehoe signed the measure on September 28, 2025.
The map significantly reconfigured congressional districts, including the Kansas City-based 5th Congressional District represented by Democrat Emanuel Cleaver. The redraw was intended to create another Republican-leaning congressional district in a state where Republicans currently control six of eight U.S. House seats.
But opponents quickly launched an effort to stop it.
People Not Politicians gathered signatures seeking a statewide referendum on the new map, relying on a provision of the Missouri Constitution that allows voters to review certain acts passed by the legislature.
Missouri Secretary of State Denny Hoskins declined to certify the petition, and the state’s August 4 primary elections proceeded using the 2025 congressional boundaries.
Then came another major reversal.
On September 3, the Missouri Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the referendum petition was legal, sufficient and timely.
That decision meant House Bill 1 had never taken effect and would remain suspended unless Missouri voters ultimately approved it.
What followed was an extraordinary series of conflicting court decisions.
Justice Brett Kavanaugh initially denied an emergency request seeking to block the Missouri Supreme Court ruling.
Minutes later, however, a federal district judge issued an order requiring Missouri to use the 2025 congressional map.
The U.S. Supreme Court subsequently stayed that order.
A federal appeals court then entered the fight, concluding that conducting the primary and general elections under different congressional maps would violate the Constitution. The appeals court directed Missouri to return to the 2025 map.
Once again, the Supreme Court intervened and blocked the ruling.
The result is now clear for November.
Missouri will conduct its November 3 general election using the state’s 2022 congressional districts, despite having conducted its August primary under the newer boundaries.
At the same time, Missouri voters will decide the referendum determining whether the 2025 congressional map should be approved for future use.
Governor Kehoe has said Missouri will comply with the Supreme Court’s order, bringing the immediate legal fight over which map will govern the upcoming general election to a close.
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