TUCSON, Ariz. — Blood spatter on Nancy Guthrie’s front porch shows she was still alive when coerced out of her home by a lone abductor in the Catalina Foothills of Tucson, according to a retired FBI profiler — who also believes that the masked suspect made enough mistakes that he will be identified eventually.

“We also know at least that she was alive at that time,” said Jim Clemente, who spent 22 years in the bureau.

That’s based on his analysis of blood on her front porch. There was a concentration of round droplets near the front door, then a thinning trail toward her driveway.

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“She must have aspirated and then coughed up blood with her face very close to the ground, and I don’t believe that would have happened had two people been carrying her at that point,” he told Fox News Digital.

Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of “Today” co-host Savannah Guthrie, is believed to have been kidnapped from her home around 2:30 a.m. on Feb. 1. For days, there were few clues about who was responsible, until the FBI and Google recovered imagery from her Nest doorbell camera that showed a masked man wearing gloves and a holstered pistol arrive on her front steps the night she vanished.

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He is described as above average height and build. He was wearing a black Ozark Trail backpack, long sleeves, gloves and a ski mask. And he remains unidentified nearly 100 days later.

Still, the video is full of clues, Clemente told Fox News Digital.

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Although the suspect is believed to have scouted the location in advance, he resorted to using foliage to block the Nest camera lens and had the potential to shed facial hair through his ski mask, Clemente said.

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“In the process of doing that, I believe he revealed what looked like a tattoo on his wrist, which would not have been revealed had he adequately prepared for that camera being there,” he said.

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“So it tells me that he is not a sophisticated offender. He was sort of bumbling his way through this, and he made other mistakes, and I believe those mistakes will directly lead to his capture.”

While investigators have kept details about the inside of the home close, some have leaked, and they paint a story, Clemente said.

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“I believe that what it means is he threatened her with his gun when he was at her bedside,” he told Fox News Digital. “He got her to come down, and at the front door is where she realized he’s going to take me and this is very dangerous and I should fight. And she did.”

The doorbell video does not show Guthrie being taken from her home, although there was blood clearly visible on her stone walkway. The camera itself was missing when deputies arrived the next morning. However, the fact that the FBI was able to recover video anyway likely shocked the kidnapper, Clemente said, and someone in his orbit should have been able to pick up the signs.

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“Because of all the mistakes this guy made, because of his ineptness and non-professional behavior in this, I believe that he exhibited a great degree of stress when the images were first released,” Clemente said. “Anybody around him should have noticed that change in behavior and potentially be able to identify him because of that.”

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There was also an unidentified hair sample recovered from the home. The sheriff’s department initially sent it to a private lab in Florida. After 11 weeks, the lab there sent it to the FBI for more advanced analysis.

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“If it is a hair from the offender, then it will lead to his identification,” Clemente said. “They will have his name.”

There is a combined reward of more than $1.2 million for information that cracks the case.

To remain anonymous, contact Tucson’s 88-Crime tip line at (520) 882-7463.

The family is also urging anyone with information to dial 1-800-CALL-FBI.

“How I Met Your Mother” actor, Nick Pasqual, was convicted of attempted murder.

According to court records, the 36-year-old actor was found guilty of attempted murder Friday for the May 23, 2024, stabbing of his ex-girlfriend, Allie Shehorn. In addition to first-degree murder, Pasqual was also found guilty by the San Fernando, Calif., jury of first-degree residential burglary with person present and injuring a spouse, cohabitant, fiancé, boyfriend, girlfriend or child’s parent.

Pasqual now awaits sentencing, with his hearing scheduled to take place on Tuesday, June 2.

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According to PEOPLE magazine, Pasqual was first arrested for domestic violence on May 18, 2024, and was later released on $50,000 bond. Shehorn’s friend, Jed Dornoff, told the magazine at the time that “as soon as he paid his bail, he came after her.”

Per ABC7, Shehorn, a Hollywood makeup artist, took the stand with scars on her neck and arms, to recount the night Pasqual got violent with her.

“I locked the door and he just started punching holes in that door and broke that open,” she said, according to ABC7. “I just ran into the bathroom because I thought there’s another lock on that door.”

The Los Angeles Times reported at the time that Shehorn had filed a restraining order against Pasqual days before he broke into her Sunland, Calif.,,home and stabbed her an estimated 20 times.

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Following the attack, Pasqual allegedly fled California, and was detained at the United States/Mexico border in Sierra Blanca, Texas, according to PEOPLE.

Shehorn was found by her friend, Christine White, who told The Los Angeles Times, “I just told her to keep her hand on her throat to stop the bleeding.”

Shehorn suffered injuries to her throat, back, chest and wrists and underwent 14 hours of surgery. She later spent multiple days in the intensive care unit.

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