Latest
TANVI RATNA: With one war, Trump is breaking Middle East’s old power structure
The Middle East is once again on edge as U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian military infrastructure continue. Iran has responded with missile and drone attacks. Oil markets have surged, and global shipping lanes are under pressure.
But this is not unfolding like a typical war in the region.
Even as strikes continue, tankers are still moving through the Strait of Hormuz under constrained conditions. Backchannel communications have not collapsed. Key regional players are not fully committing to either escalation or restraint. Instead, they are doing something far more telling: they are adjusting.
That is the first signal that this is not just a military confrontation. It is a system under stress—one that is being deliberately reshaped.
TRUMP SAYS IRAN’S SUCCESSION BENCH WIPED OUT AS ISRAELI STRIKE HITS LEADERSHIP DELIBERATIONS
To understand what is happening now, you have to go back to the system that existed before this moment.
For nearly two decades, the Middle East operated on a managed equilibrium. After the Iraq War, through the Arab Spring, and into the fight against ISIS, three distinct power structures emerged and learned to coexist without resolving their conflicts.
Shia-dominated Iran built what became known as the “Axis of Resistance,” embedding itself across Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. These were not loose proxy relationships. They were institutional footholds—militias integrated into state structures, political actors controlling territory and budgets. Iran’s incentive was clear: expand influence without triggering a direct, overwhelming response. Stay below the threshold of full-scale war while steadily increasing leverage.
TRUMP’S OPERATION EPIC FURY PROVES REAGAN-STYLE PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH IS BACK
Across the Sunni world, there was no unified front to counter this. Saudi Arabia and the UAE pushed for a centralized, state-led regional order, while Turkey and Qatar backed Islamist political movements that offered a competing model of legitimacy. Their incentive was not alignment, but competition. Each camp used regional conflicts to expand influence without fully committing to a single strategic bloc.
Israel, meanwhile, stood apart. By the mid-2010s, it had unmatched military capability and operational reach, but it remained outside the region’s political framework. Its incentive was to preserve that advantage through deterrence—strike when necessary, but avoid becoming entangled in the region’s unstable alliances.
The United States managed this system rather than resolving it. The Iran nuclear deal treated Tehran’s nuclear ambitions as separate from its regional behavior. Conflicts like Gaza followed a predictable cycle of escalation and ceasefire. Stability was maintained, but only by compartmentalizing the underlying tensions.
TRUMP’S STRIKE ON IRAN DEALS A MAJOR BLOW TO PUTIN’S WAR MACHINE IN UKRAINE
That model allowed every actor to operate within the system without fundamentally changing it.
President Donald Trump rejected that model from the start.
His first major break came in May 2018, when he withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal and reimposed sweeping sanctions. This was not just a policy shift on nuclear issues. It was a systemic move. By targeting Iran’s oil exports, financial networks and shipping, the administration began raising the cost of maintaining its regional architecture.
MORNING GLORY: TRUMP HAS RESTORED THE GOP AS THE PARTY OF DEFENSE AND DETERRENCE
The incentive for Iran started to change. Expansion was no longer low-risk. Every additional node in its network now carried economic and operational consequences.
That pressure escalated in April 2019 with the designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, and then in January 2020 with the strike that killed Qassem Soleimani. These actions were widely described as escalation at the time. In reality, they were consistent steps in a broader strategy: eliminate the assumption that Iran could operate indefinitely in the gray zone.
At the same time, Trump moved to reshape the other side of the system.
TRUMP’S IRAN STRATEGY IS WORKING AND TEACHING OUR FOES WHAT DETERRENCE MEANS
The Abraham Accords in 2020 broke one of the longest-standing constraints in Middle Eastern diplomacy. For decades, Arab states had conditioned normalization with Israel on a resolution to the Palestinian issue. Trump reversed that sequence. The United Arab Emirates and Bahrain normalized relations first, followed by Morocco and Sudan.
This created a new set of incentives across the Sunni world. Alignment with Israel was no longer politically off limits. It became a pathway to security cooperation, advanced technology and closer ties with the United States. Instead of waiting for a final settlement, states could now act in their immediate strategic interest.
For Israel, this was a structural shift. It was no longer operating outside the regional system. It was being integrated into it.
But alignment alone did not resolve the system’s contradictions.
Saudi Arabia remained cautious. Turkey and Qatar continued to pursue their own networks. Iran’s influence persisted through deeply embedded institutions. The region had new alignments, but they were incomplete.
This is where Trump’s approach evolved from alignment to enforcement.
AMB. GORDON SONDLAND: THE TRUTH ABOUT IRAN’S ‘IMMINENT THREAT’ THAT POLITICIANS HATE TO ADMIT
During the Gaza war following the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks, the United States helped broker a phased arrangement by early 2025 that tied hostage releases to Israeli withdrawals and linked humanitarian aid to monitoring mechanisms. This was not a traditional ceasefire. It introduced conditionality directly into the structure of the agreement.
That logic carried forward into 2026 with the development of a U.S.-led reconstruction and governance framework involving Israel and its regional partners. The principle was clear: participation in the system would now be tied to measurable outcomes.
This changed incentives again. Cooperation was no longer symbolic. It became transactional and enforceable.
MORNING GLORY: THERE’S A WAR GOING ON IN THE MIDDLE EAST. HAVE YOU HEARD?
And yet, even with these changes, the system did not fully realign.
Iran’s networks remained intact. Sunni divisions persisted. Israel continued to expand its own strategic relationships beyond the immediate region. The old structures were weakened, but not dismantled.
That is why the current war matters.
MORE THAN 90% OF IRANIAN MISSILES INTERCEPTED, BUT A DANGEROUS IMBALANCE IS EMERGING
The strikes that began at the end of February 2026 are not just about degrading Iranian military capabilities. They are about forcing simultaneous adjustments across all three systems.
Iran is now facing a different calculation than at any point in the past two decades. Its strategy of gradual expansion has collided with sustained economic pressure and direct military risk. The incentive is shifting from building influence to preserving it under constraint.
Sunni states are being pushed out of their comfort zone of strategic ambiguity. The ability to hedge between competing blocs is narrowing. As pressure increases, the cost of remaining non-aligned rises, and the incentive to consolidate around a clearer regional framework becomes stronger.
THE FUTURE OF WAR? US-ISRAEL BLITZ ON IRAN UNVEILS NEXT-GEN ALLIED COMBAT
Israel, in turn, is being positioned not just as a military actor, but as a central node in that emerging framework. Its role is evolving from deterrence to system participation—linking security, technology and governance across aligned states.
What Trump is doing through this war is not simply escalating a conflict. He is compressing timelines.
Instead of allowing these systems to evolve gradually, he is applying pressure that forces decisions now. Each actor is being pushed to reveal its position, not in theory, but in practice.
TRUMP DELAYS XI MEETING AS IRAN CONFLICT LETS US STRONG-ARM CHINA’S OIL SUPPLY
That is why this war appears inconsistent on the surface. Escalation and negotiation are happening at the same time because the objective is not a clean military victory. It is a forced realignment of incentives across the entire region.
This marks a fundamental break from the model that defined U.S. policy for decades. The old approach managed instability and accepted unresolved tensions as the cost of avoiding larger conflicts. The current approach is attempting to resolve those tensions by making the cost of maintaining them too high.
Whether that works remains uncertain. What is clear is that the Middle East is no longer operating under the same rules.
This is not just a war with Iran. It is an attempt to change how the region functions and who gets to shape it going forward.
This article is a Fox News Digital exclusive from the author’s Substack series on different theaters President Trump is realigning with the Iran War.
Latest
Trump Issues Chilling Ultimatum
President Donald Trump put Iran on notice before the United Nations General Assembly Tuesday, presenting Tehran with two dramatically different paths: reach an agreement with the United States or risk another devastating round of American military action.
Speaking before world leaders in New York, Trump said he is approaching a consequential decision over the future of the conflict with Iran.
“I have a big decision to make,” Trump said. “Will a deal be made with Iran that lets them rebuild and create a far greater country?”
The alternative Trump raised was unmistakably severe.
The president said he could instead use American military power to “annihilate the Islamic Republic,” delivering one of his most direct warnings to Tehran since the United States began its military campaign earlier this year.
Trump’s message was not simply a threat of additional sanctions or diplomatic isolation. He made clear that renewed military action remains on the table if negotiations fail.
At the same time, Trump maintained that diplomacy could still produce an agreement.
He predicted that a deal with Iran could potentially emerge after the November 3 midterm elections, while insisting that domestic political considerations are not dictating his decisions.
The remarks came after months of direct military confrontation and escalating economic pressure against Tehran.
Trump has repeatedly maintained that Iran will never be permitted to obtain a nuclear weapon, a position he again emphasized before the United Nations.
The White House characterized Trump’s broader message as one of confronting threats before they are allowed to grow, with the president telling world leaders that the United States would use its power when necessary to defend its interests.
But Trump also made clear that military force is not the only pressure Washington intends to apply.
He called on governments around the world to further isolate Tehran economically in an effort to force Iranian leaders back to the negotiating table.
The Trump administration has already imposed sweeping sanctions intended to restrict Iran’s access to the international financial system and make it more difficult for Tehran to rebuild military capabilities damaged during the conflict.
Iran, meanwhile, has indicated that it remains open to negotiations while demanding that Washington ease its military and economic pressure.
That leaves enormous differences still separating the two governments.
Among the biggest points of contention are Iran’s nuclear program, its ballistic missile arsenal and control of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump has repeatedly said Iran cannot be permitted to acquire a nuclear weapon.
His administration has also identified Tehran’s missile production, naval capabilities and support for armed groups throughout the Middle East as major security concerns.
The Strait of Hormuz remains another critical flashpoint.
The narrow waterway is one of the world’s most important energy corridors, connecting major Persian Gulf oil producers with global markets.
Disruptions there have pushed energy prices higher and intensified international concern that the conflict could spill further into the global economy.
Trump urged Iran to fully reopen the strait while pointing to American naval operations intended to protect commercial shipping.
He argued that a lasting agreement could ease pressure on oil markets while allowing Iran to begin rebuilding its battered economy.
Oil markets have remained volatile as traders attempt to determine whether diplomacy can prevent another escalation between Washington and Tehran.
But Trump’s address made one point particularly clear: he does not view the current situation as an indefinite stalemate.
The president said he is approaching a decision.
His comments also expanded on remarks made during a recent interview in which he said he would soon determine whether massive attacks against Iran should resume.
Trump has maintained that communication between Washington and Tehran continues and that Iranian officials remain interested in reaching an agreement.
He did not announce a deadline Tuesday for Tehran to accept a deal.
That leaves the timing uncertain — but not the stakes.
Iran can pursue negotiations with Washington and potentially gain an opportunity to rebuild its economy, or it can reject the terms the United States is demanding and risk another major military confrontation.
Trump’s message at the United Nations was built around that stark choice.
Diplomacy remains available.
So does American military power.
And Trump told world leaders that he is preparing to decide which path comes next.
Border & Security
Popular News Anchor Arrested By ICE
Federal immigration authorities arrested a staffer for a Democratic California lawmaker during a targeted enforcement operation at a Las Vegas airport, setting off a clash between the Department of Homeland Security and the state legislator who employs him.
Ho-Yin Mo, a field representative for Democratic California Assemblywoman Catherine Stefani, was taken into custody at Harry Reid International Airport on September 17.
Mo, a Hong Kong native and former television news anchor, is now facing removal proceedings while Stefani is publicly demanding his release.
According to the Department of Homeland Security, Mo originally entered the United States legally in 2020 but remained beyond the period he was authorized to stay.
“On January 13, 2020, Mo lawfully entered the U.S. on a temporary basis but illegally overstayed his welcome by failing to depart by May 15, 2020,” a DHS spokesperson said.
The department also directly addressed questions surrounding Mo’s ability to legally work in the United States.
“Work authorization or a pending application do NOT confer legal status in the United States.”
DHS said Mo’s arrest was part of a targeted immigration-enforcement operation at the Las Vegas airport.
The department tied the arrest to a broader Trump administration crackdown on domestic air travel by people it says lack lawful immigration status.
“DHS reversed the horrendous Biden-era policy that allowed aliens in our country illegally to jet around our country,” the department said.
“Under President Trump, DHS will no longer tolerate this. This administration is working diligently to ensure that aliens in our country illegally can no longer fly unless it is out of our country to self-deport.”
But Stefani is pushing back against the federal government’s characterization of her staffer’s situation.
“My message today is simple: I am respectfully calling for Ho Yin Mo’s release as soon as possible,” Stefani said following his detention.
“Ho Yin is a selfless public servant and a valued, legal employee of the California State Legislature serving our San Francisco and Bay Area communities.”
The competing statements highlight an important distinction in the case: Stefani says Mo is legally authorized to work for the California Legislature, while DHS says that employment authorization does not by itself establish lawful immigration status.
Mo’s detention has attracted additional attention because he isn’t an obscure political operative.
Before entering California politics, he was a familiar face to some Bay Area viewers as an anchor and reporter for KTSF Channel 26, a Chinese-language television station.
He later moved into Democratic political organizing.
In 2024, Mo worked as an outreach organizer focused on Asian American and Pacific Islander communities for then-San Francisco Mayor London Breed’s unsuccessful reelection campaign.
His profile apparently made him an attractive political hire.
“When we learned that Mo was available, we immediately saw an opportunity to bring him on board,” Breed spokesman Joe Arellano said at the time. “His visibility through KTSF connects with a broad audience, and his professional background and experience made him a strong fit.”
Mo joined Stefani’s staff in January 2025 as a field representative.
Stefani represents California’s 19th Assembly District, encompassing western San Francisco and northern San Mateo County. Before entering the state Assembly in December 2024, the Democrat served on the San Francisco Board of Supervisors.
Stefani has praised Mo’s work connecting her office with Chinese-American constituents and providing assistance with government services.
“And his work goes far beyond presence. Ho-Yin helps people access affordable healthcare coverage, childcare, and food support. Our whole community eagerly awaits Ho-Yin’s return to his home and his job, where he is loved and adored.”
Federal immigration authorities, however, have taken a different position on the underlying immigration question.
DHS says Mo’s authorized temporary stay expired in May 2020 and maintains that neither a work permit nor a pending immigration application independently gives someone lawful immigration status.
Mo was being held at an immigration detention facility in Nevada while facing removal proceedings that could ultimately result in his deportation to Hong Kong.
His detention also comes as the Trump administration expands immigration-enforcement operations at American airports.
The administration has increasingly targeted visa overstays and other people DHS considers unlawfully present, including some individuals who possess federal work authorization or have pending immigration cases.
That enforcement strategy has generated fierce opposition from immigration advocates and Democratic officials, who argue that people with active immigration cases and work permits should not be swept into detention while those proceedings remain unresolved.
The administration maintains that a pending application or authorization to work does not prevent immigration authorities from enforcing existing removal laws.
Mo’s case now puts that dispute directly inside a Democratic California lawmaker’s office.
A former television journalist who went on to work for two prominent San Francisco Democrats is sitting in federal immigration custody.
His boss says he is a valued employee who should be released.
DHS says he remained in the United States after his authorized stay expired.
And unless his immigration proceedings change that situation, Mo faces the possibility of being removed to Hong Kong.
Latest
Obama Calls It QUITS After Wild Video Goes Viral
Michelle Obama’s voter organization is taking its 2026 midterm strategy straight into the social media feeds of millions of young Americans.
When We All Vote, the initiative founded by the former first lady, has launched a new “Voting Squad” made up of popular social media creators who will use their enormous online audiences to distribute voter-registration information, election deadlines and issue-focused content ahead of the midterms.
It represents a distinctly modern approach to voter outreach: instead of relying primarily on television commercials, political mailers or traditional campaign operations, election messaging will appear alongside the videos and posts millions of young Americans already consume every day.
When We All Vote describes the Voting Squad as a nonpartisan network, with participating creators using their own personalities, voices and established platforms to reach younger voters.
And its potential reach is enormous.
According to the organization, creators participating in the campaign collectively reach more than 20 million people across social media.
Among them is Brandon Edelman, better known online as Bran Flakezz, whose TikTok following exceeds 1.4 million.
The campaign also includes physician and “medical mythbuster” Joel Bervell, “plant enthusiast” Paige Tailyn and influencer Leon Ondieki, who has approximately 4.5 million TikTok followers.
Rather than asking young voters to seek out election information themselves, the strategy effectively brings that information directly into their existing social-media feeds.
Creators are expected to distribute state-specific election dates and deadlines, explain how issues important to younger voters appear on ballots and direct followers toward fact-checked voting resources.
When We All Vote argues that confusion and a lack of reliable election information remain major obstacles to Gen Z participation.
“At a time when lack of accurate information is one of the main barriers preventing Gen Z from voting, the Voting Squad will serve as trusted messengers to reach and resonate with young voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections,” the organization said.
The initiative was announced in conjunction with National Voter Registration Day as the political battle for young voters intensifies ahead of November.
Kalisha Dessources Figures, a senior adviser for When We All Vote, made clear that the strategy is designed to insert election information directly into the online environments where younger Americans are already spending their time.
“Registering to vote takes less time than our daily doomscrolls,” Figures said in announcing the campaign.
She said the Voting Squad would bring “hope, community, and reminders of the power of our voices back into our timelines.”
The potential audience is substantial.
When We All Vote estimates that nearly 50 million members of Generation Z will be eligible to vote in the 2026 midterm elections.
That makes the battle for their attention — and ultimately their participation — potentially significant.
The strategy also reflects a major shift in how political and civic organizations attempt to reach younger Americans.
Social-media creators can develop intensely personal relationships with their audiences, often communicating in conversational formats that bear little resemblance to traditional political advertising.
That familiarity can give creators substantial influence with followers who may encounter their content every day.
It also raises the importance of transparency and accuracy when election-related information is mixed into feeds normally filled with entertainment, lifestyle advice and personal content.
When We All Vote identifies itself as a national, nonpartisan initiative focused on increasing voter participation, reducing voting gaps based on age and race, and changing the broader culture surrounding elections.
Obama founded the organization in 2018.
The Voting Squad campaign does not endorse a candidate or political party, according to When We All Vote, and its announced materials focus on voter registration, election deadlines and voting resources.
But the mechanics of the campaign are unmistakably ambitious: put election information in front of millions of young Americans without requiring them to leave the platforms and personalities they already follow.
The organization has been laying the groundwork for a broader Gen Z push throughout 2026.
Its “Pass the Mic to Gen Z” campaign has focused on identifying the issues younger Americans care about and connecting those concerns with civic participation. When We All Vote’s research found that social media plays a major role in Gen Z’s information habits, although traditional news websites and apps remain significant sources as well.
Now the organization is attempting to turn those media habits into real-world political participation.
The central question is whether millions of followers and social-media views will translate into actual registrations — and eventually ballots.
Creators may command enormous audiences, but online reach is not the same thing as voter turnout.
That is what makes the 2026 midterms an important test of the strategy.
Michelle Obama’s organization is betting that some of the most effective messengers for reaching the next generation of voters may not be politicians, campaign advertisements or traditional political organizations at all.
They may be the influencers already appearing on millions of phones every day.
-
Economy5 months agoVance Leaves Meeting, Looks Straight Into Camera, Announces Stunning Arrest
-
Economy5 months agoAdam Schiff Facing 30 Years In Prison After Bank Records Leak
-
Economy5 months agoSupreme Curt Sides With Trump — He Can Remove The All
-
Culture3 months agoMichelle Obama Drops Nasty Bomb About ‘Useless’ Daughter
-
Economy6 months agoAll Hell Breaks Loose On Fox When Jesse Watters Asks Fetterman One Question
-
Economy4 months agoPrayers Pour In After Fox Host Dies: ‘Senseless Murder’
-
Latest3 months agoFox News Stuns With Announcement About 5 Fired Hosts
-
Border & Security2 months agoTop Trump Admin And Wife Found Dead — Chilling Update Just Released
