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Why Trump faces an agonizing decision on obliterating Iran’s oil supply if he can’t get a deal
In case you blinked and missed it, President Donald Trump is back to threatening Iran.
And that seems to undercut the idea that his envoys are having very good talks, through intermediaries, with the Iranians.
Just look at the tone of his Truth Social posting yesterday:
“The United States of America is in serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran. Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately ‘Open for Business,’ we will conclude our lovely ‘stay’ in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully not yet ‘touched.’ This will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered and killed over the old Regime’s 47 year ‘Reign of Terror.’”
Does that sound like someone who believes he’s close to an agreement?
WHY TRUMP, IRAN SEEM LIGHT-YEARS APART ON ANY POSSIBLE DEAL TO END THE WAR
I don’t think Trump wants to bomb the hell out of Iran’s energy facilities. He’s fully aware of how that would escalate the war and keep the U.S. mired in the conflict for many months at a minimum – a worst-case scenario for a man who campaigned against entanglement in foreign wars.
That’s why he extended his deadline by 10 days, to try to work out some compromise with what remains the world’s leading terror state. It’s hard to feel an ounce of sympathy for these murderous dictators who are responsible for so many thousands of deaths, including those of their own people.
The president told the New York Post yesterday that the administration has been dealing with Iran’s parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Ghalibaf, saying we’ll find out within a week “whether he is someone America can truly work with.”
Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters yesterday, “I hope journalists in this room are wise enough not to take[the word of] an Iranian regime that has repeatedly lied about our country, about our values, about everyone in this room, frankly, for nearly five decades.”
From the point of view of Iran, which was invaded by British and Soviet forces during World War II, all the regime has to do is survive and then claim victory.
The president is in something of a box. He clearly wants to end our military involvement in Iran, but can’t be seen as backing down on his threats.
Trump, at a minimum, needs two things. One is an agreement he can sell as limiting Iran’s ability to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons. The other is ending Tehran’s blockade of “hostile” powers using the Strait of Hormuz, which has choked off 20 percent of the world’s oil traffic.
With the president moving tens of thousands of troops into position in the Middle East, he certainly has the boots he needs for a sustained attack.
Trump is, as everyone knows, paying the price at home. The stock market has plummeted, shrinking the retirement accounts of millions of Americans. The cost of living, led by soaring gas prices, keeps rising after an election that was focused on “affordability.”
And the president’s standing has nosedived among young men, many of whom want no part of this war or feel they were misled about foreign wars.
Meanwhile, Iran’s military machine has been decimated, but it still has the ability to inflict damage with cheap drones. Over the weekend, one such drone injured at least 10 American service members at a Saudi air base, two seriously, and others have caused damage in Israel, killing at least 20 people.
The New York Times says “there has been little apparent progress in the negotiations. Iran has denied holding substantive talks with the United States and has rejected the Trump administration’s conditions as unreasonable. The war has raged on, drawing in much of the Middle East, sending oil and gas prices skyrocketing and fracturing Mr. Trump’s political support at home.”
The Wall Street Journal reports the president “is weighing a military operation to extract nearly 1,000 pounds of uranium from Iran, according to U.S. officials, a complex and risky mission that would likely put American forces inside the country for days or longer.” While “considering the danger to U.S. troops,” Trump is “open” to the idea “because it could help accomplish his central goal of preventing Iran from ever making a nuclear weapon.”
Trump is no stranger to shifting rhetoric. After vowing to block any oil shipments to Cuba, Trump let a Russian tanker through, saying it doesn’t matter because the island’s economy is collapsing anyway. An alternate take: He wanted to avoid a confrontation with Moscow while heavily focused on the Mideast.
War Secretary Pete Hegseth says the “hate-Trump” press is constantly playing up negative news. While the coverage has indeed been overwhelmingly pessimistic, I don’t know how else the latest exchanges between Washington and Tehran could be reported.
Hegseth, a decorated Army veteran, is taking heat for his repeated emphasis on Christianity, including, as the Washington Post notes, bringing clergy from his small Christian denomination to preach at the Pentagon.
The other day, talking about the war, Hegseth prayed for American troops to bring “overwhelming violence of action against those who deserve no mercy … We ask these things with bold confidence in the mighty and powerful name of Jesus Christ.”
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It sounds rather melodramatic to say so, but we are at a critical turning point. Either some kind of deal is made, face-saving or otherwise, or an aerial assault is unleashed upon Iran that prolongs the war and raises the prospect of an Iraq-style quagmire.
If the Iranian leaders were rational, they’d want to avoid further obliteration. But I’m not sure they are. They are maddeningly phony negotiators who deserve whatever they get. But the consequences of an all-out bombing for America, and the president himself, could be just as severe.
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Trump Issues Chilling Ultimatum
President Donald Trump put Iran on notice before the United Nations General Assembly Tuesday, presenting Tehran with two dramatically different paths: reach an agreement with the United States or risk another devastating round of American military action.
Speaking before world leaders in New York, Trump said he is approaching a consequential decision over the future of the conflict with Iran.
“I have a big decision to make,” Trump said. “Will a deal be made with Iran that lets them rebuild and create a far greater country?”
The alternative Trump raised was unmistakably severe.
The president said he could instead use American military power to “annihilate the Islamic Republic,” delivering one of his most direct warnings to Tehran since the United States began its military campaign earlier this year.
Trump’s message was not simply a threat of additional sanctions or diplomatic isolation. He made clear that renewed military action remains on the table if negotiations fail.
At the same time, Trump maintained that diplomacy could still produce an agreement.
He predicted that a deal with Iran could potentially emerge after the November 3 midterm elections, while insisting that domestic political considerations are not dictating his decisions.
The remarks came after months of direct military confrontation and escalating economic pressure against Tehran.
Trump has repeatedly maintained that Iran will never be permitted to obtain a nuclear weapon, a position he again emphasized before the United Nations.
The White House characterized Trump’s broader message as one of confronting threats before they are allowed to grow, with the president telling world leaders that the United States would use its power when necessary to defend its interests.
But Trump also made clear that military force is not the only pressure Washington intends to apply.
He called on governments around the world to further isolate Tehran economically in an effort to force Iranian leaders back to the negotiating table.
The Trump administration has already imposed sweeping sanctions intended to restrict Iran’s access to the international financial system and make it more difficult for Tehran to rebuild military capabilities damaged during the conflict.
Iran, meanwhile, has indicated that it remains open to negotiations while demanding that Washington ease its military and economic pressure.
That leaves enormous differences still separating the two governments.
Among the biggest points of contention are Iran’s nuclear program, its ballistic missile arsenal and control of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump has repeatedly said Iran cannot be permitted to acquire a nuclear weapon.
His administration has also identified Tehran’s missile production, naval capabilities and support for armed groups throughout the Middle East as major security concerns.
The Strait of Hormuz remains another critical flashpoint.
The narrow waterway is one of the world’s most important energy corridors, connecting major Persian Gulf oil producers with global markets.
Disruptions there have pushed energy prices higher and intensified international concern that the conflict could spill further into the global economy.
Trump urged Iran to fully reopen the strait while pointing to American naval operations intended to protect commercial shipping.
He argued that a lasting agreement could ease pressure on oil markets while allowing Iran to begin rebuilding its battered economy.
Oil markets have remained volatile as traders attempt to determine whether diplomacy can prevent another escalation between Washington and Tehran.
But Trump’s address made one point particularly clear: he does not view the current situation as an indefinite stalemate.
The president said he is approaching a decision.
His comments also expanded on remarks made during a recent interview in which he said he would soon determine whether massive attacks against Iran should resume.
Trump has maintained that communication between Washington and Tehran continues and that Iranian officials remain interested in reaching an agreement.
He did not announce a deadline Tuesday for Tehran to accept a deal.
That leaves the timing uncertain — but not the stakes.
Iran can pursue negotiations with Washington and potentially gain an opportunity to rebuild its economy, or it can reject the terms the United States is demanding and risk another major military confrontation.
Trump’s message at the United Nations was built around that stark choice.
Diplomacy remains available.
So does American military power.
And Trump told world leaders that he is preparing to decide which path comes next.
Border & Security
Popular News Anchor Arrested By ICE
Federal immigration authorities arrested a staffer for a Democratic California lawmaker during a targeted enforcement operation at a Las Vegas airport, setting off a clash between the Department of Homeland Security and the state legislator who employs him.
Ho-Yin Mo, a field representative for Democratic California Assemblywoman Catherine Stefani, was taken into custody at Harry Reid International Airport on September 17.
Mo, a Hong Kong native and former television news anchor, is now facing removal proceedings while Stefani is publicly demanding his release.
According to the Department of Homeland Security, Mo originally entered the United States legally in 2020 but remained beyond the period he was authorized to stay.
“On January 13, 2020, Mo lawfully entered the U.S. on a temporary basis but illegally overstayed his welcome by failing to depart by May 15, 2020,” a DHS spokesperson said.
The department also directly addressed questions surrounding Mo’s ability to legally work in the United States.
“Work authorization or a pending application do NOT confer legal status in the United States.”
DHS said Mo’s arrest was part of a targeted immigration-enforcement operation at the Las Vegas airport.
The department tied the arrest to a broader Trump administration crackdown on domestic air travel by people it says lack lawful immigration status.
“DHS reversed the horrendous Biden-era policy that allowed aliens in our country illegally to jet around our country,” the department said.
“Under President Trump, DHS will no longer tolerate this. This administration is working diligently to ensure that aliens in our country illegally can no longer fly unless it is out of our country to self-deport.”
But Stefani is pushing back against the federal government’s characterization of her staffer’s situation.
“My message today is simple: I am respectfully calling for Ho Yin Mo’s release as soon as possible,” Stefani said following his detention.
“Ho Yin is a selfless public servant and a valued, legal employee of the California State Legislature serving our San Francisco and Bay Area communities.”
The competing statements highlight an important distinction in the case: Stefani says Mo is legally authorized to work for the California Legislature, while DHS says that employment authorization does not by itself establish lawful immigration status.
Mo’s detention has attracted additional attention because he isn’t an obscure political operative.
Before entering California politics, he was a familiar face to some Bay Area viewers as an anchor and reporter for KTSF Channel 26, a Chinese-language television station.
He later moved into Democratic political organizing.
In 2024, Mo worked as an outreach organizer focused on Asian American and Pacific Islander communities for then-San Francisco Mayor London Breed’s unsuccessful reelection campaign.
His profile apparently made him an attractive political hire.
“When we learned that Mo was available, we immediately saw an opportunity to bring him on board,” Breed spokesman Joe Arellano said at the time. “His visibility through KTSF connects with a broad audience, and his professional background and experience made him a strong fit.”
Mo joined Stefani’s staff in January 2025 as a field representative.
Stefani represents California’s 19th Assembly District, encompassing western San Francisco and northern San Mateo County. Before entering the state Assembly in December 2024, the Democrat served on the San Francisco Board of Supervisors.
Stefani has praised Mo’s work connecting her office with Chinese-American constituents and providing assistance with government services.
“And his work goes far beyond presence. Ho-Yin helps people access affordable healthcare coverage, childcare, and food support. Our whole community eagerly awaits Ho-Yin’s return to his home and his job, where he is loved and adored.”
Federal immigration authorities, however, have taken a different position on the underlying immigration question.
DHS says Mo’s authorized temporary stay expired in May 2020 and maintains that neither a work permit nor a pending immigration application independently gives someone lawful immigration status.
Mo was being held at an immigration detention facility in Nevada while facing removal proceedings that could ultimately result in his deportation to Hong Kong.
His detention also comes as the Trump administration expands immigration-enforcement operations at American airports.
The administration has increasingly targeted visa overstays and other people DHS considers unlawfully present, including some individuals who possess federal work authorization or have pending immigration cases.
That enforcement strategy has generated fierce opposition from immigration advocates and Democratic officials, who argue that people with active immigration cases and work permits should not be swept into detention while those proceedings remain unresolved.
The administration maintains that a pending application or authorization to work does not prevent immigration authorities from enforcing existing removal laws.
Mo’s case now puts that dispute directly inside a Democratic California lawmaker’s office.
A former television journalist who went on to work for two prominent San Francisco Democrats is sitting in federal immigration custody.
His boss says he is a valued employee who should be released.
DHS says he remained in the United States after his authorized stay expired.
And unless his immigration proceedings change that situation, Mo faces the possibility of being removed to Hong Kong.
Latest
Obama Calls It QUITS After Wild Video Goes Viral
Michelle Obama’s voter organization is taking its 2026 midterm strategy straight into the social media feeds of millions of young Americans.
When We All Vote, the initiative founded by the former first lady, has launched a new “Voting Squad” made up of popular social media creators who will use their enormous online audiences to distribute voter-registration information, election deadlines and issue-focused content ahead of the midterms.
It represents a distinctly modern approach to voter outreach: instead of relying primarily on television commercials, political mailers or traditional campaign operations, election messaging will appear alongside the videos and posts millions of young Americans already consume every day.
When We All Vote describes the Voting Squad as a nonpartisan network, with participating creators using their own personalities, voices and established platforms to reach younger voters.
And its potential reach is enormous.
According to the organization, creators participating in the campaign collectively reach more than 20 million people across social media.
Among them is Brandon Edelman, better known online as Bran Flakezz, whose TikTok following exceeds 1.4 million.
The campaign also includes physician and “medical mythbuster” Joel Bervell, “plant enthusiast” Paige Tailyn and influencer Leon Ondieki, who has approximately 4.5 million TikTok followers.
Rather than asking young voters to seek out election information themselves, the strategy effectively brings that information directly into their existing social-media feeds.
Creators are expected to distribute state-specific election dates and deadlines, explain how issues important to younger voters appear on ballots and direct followers toward fact-checked voting resources.
When We All Vote argues that confusion and a lack of reliable election information remain major obstacles to Gen Z participation.
“At a time when lack of accurate information is one of the main barriers preventing Gen Z from voting, the Voting Squad will serve as trusted messengers to reach and resonate with young voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections,” the organization said.
The initiative was announced in conjunction with National Voter Registration Day as the political battle for young voters intensifies ahead of November.
Kalisha Dessources Figures, a senior adviser for When We All Vote, made clear that the strategy is designed to insert election information directly into the online environments where younger Americans are already spending their time.
“Registering to vote takes less time than our daily doomscrolls,” Figures said in announcing the campaign.
She said the Voting Squad would bring “hope, community, and reminders of the power of our voices back into our timelines.”
The potential audience is substantial.
When We All Vote estimates that nearly 50 million members of Generation Z will be eligible to vote in the 2026 midterm elections.
That makes the battle for their attention — and ultimately their participation — potentially significant.
The strategy also reflects a major shift in how political and civic organizations attempt to reach younger Americans.
Social-media creators can develop intensely personal relationships with their audiences, often communicating in conversational formats that bear little resemblance to traditional political advertising.
That familiarity can give creators substantial influence with followers who may encounter their content every day.
It also raises the importance of transparency and accuracy when election-related information is mixed into feeds normally filled with entertainment, lifestyle advice and personal content.
When We All Vote identifies itself as a national, nonpartisan initiative focused on increasing voter participation, reducing voting gaps based on age and race, and changing the broader culture surrounding elections.
Obama founded the organization in 2018.
The Voting Squad campaign does not endorse a candidate or political party, according to When We All Vote, and its announced materials focus on voter registration, election deadlines and voting resources.
But the mechanics of the campaign are unmistakably ambitious: put election information in front of millions of young Americans without requiring them to leave the platforms and personalities they already follow.
The organization has been laying the groundwork for a broader Gen Z push throughout 2026.
Its “Pass the Mic to Gen Z” campaign has focused on identifying the issues younger Americans care about and connecting those concerns with civic participation. When We All Vote’s research found that social media plays a major role in Gen Z’s information habits, although traditional news websites and apps remain significant sources as well.
Now the organization is attempting to turn those media habits into real-world political participation.
The central question is whether millions of followers and social-media views will translate into actual registrations — and eventually ballots.
Creators may command enormous audiences, but online reach is not the same thing as voter turnout.
That is what makes the 2026 midterms an important test of the strategy.
Michelle Obama’s organization is betting that some of the most effective messengers for reaching the next generation of voters may not be politicians, campaign advertisements or traditional political organizations at all.
They may be the influencers already appearing on millions of phones every day.
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